On Thursday the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia reclassified Ohio’s 16th Congressional District from “Safe Republican” to “Leans Republican”, issuing the following statement:
Conor Lamb’s (D, PA-18) apparent victory in a special House election in western Pennsylvania isn’t as much of a disaster for Republicans as Sen. Doug Jones’ (D-AL) win in a special election in Alabama was in December. But both results, combined with bigger-picture factors, suggest widespread Republican weakness as the midterm draws closer.
We’re moving the open OH-16 from Safe Republican to Likely Republican, and we’re making the same changes to the districts held by Reps. David Joyce (R, OH-14) and Stivers (R, OH-15).
Of the three, OH-16 is probably the most vulnerable if only because it’s an open seat (Republican Rep. Jim Renacci is running for U.S. Senate).
Ohio Democratic Party Chairman David Pepper responded with the following:
There are seven GOP-controlled House districts in Ohio that Trump won by LESS than he won PA-18. The Ohio Democratic Party has candidates challenging in every one.
To read the full report click here.